Friday, May 17, 2024
While market sentiment is discussed all the time, it is rarely defined. That’s why in today’s Hidden Profit Report, I sat down to talk with Ray Micaletti of Relative Sentiment Technology. Ray has developed an approach that compares retail investor sentiment to institutional investor activity that gives valuable and actionable information about the condition of […]
It does not matter which metric or statistic you use. Stocks are not cheap based on any empirically proven valuation metric. The S&P 500 P/E ratio is over 25—not the highest level ever recorded, but certainly on the high end of the historical scale. And the average P/E ratio of the stocks in the tech-heavy […]
Stability can be a virtue in any economic climate. Consumer staple stocks are the very epitome of stability. An analysis by Verdad Research found the sector had the lowest income statement volatility of any listed sector between 1996 and 2023. Most companies that make consumer staples have reliable cash flows and steadily growing dividends—and history […]
I’ve found two opportunities for massive profits. Both are low-priced stocks that the market is ignoring and insiders are buying. Even better, both appear to have enough of a margin of safety in the balance sheet that we are not risking a permanent long-term loss of principal. In the normal course of business, both stocks […]
Rapid demand growth thanks to the energy transition away from fossil fuels could lead to a shortage of several metals over the next decade unless there’s more investment in the segment. This is according to the Energy Transitions Commission (ETC), a global group of power and industrial companies, consumers, financial institutions, and scientists. Large supply […]
Sometimes, the old saying goes, you gotta pull the bat back and swing for the fences. After all, “ya gotta take chances.” Babe Ruth not only hit the most home runs but also struck out more than most people who played the game. The inference is that you can risk it all on mammoth swings […]
There has been an unexpected winner in the bond market in 2023: emerging market bonds. This is especially true for emerging market bonds priced in local currencies. Currently, the gap in government borrowing costs between emerging markets and U.S. Treasuries is at its best level since 2000. The reason is that investors are pricing in […]
Today, I have an idea that capitalizes on one of the most important trends in the world. While a lot of us love to hear politicians promise a bright green future with no oil and gas, the truth is that’s not happening any time soon. I touch on the reason it cannot happen and discuss […]
We are in an interesting phase of the stock market cycle. The monetary and valuation models flash yellow and red, while momentum and sentiment are bright green. And the Federal Reserve has raised rates at a faster pace than ever before, which is going to hurt stock prices eventually. Interest rates are a vital component […]
Wes Gray is one of the most innovative and interesting voices in all of finance. A Marine Captain who served in Iraq, he also studied under the legendary Eugen Fama at the University of Chicago, earning both an MBA and a Ph.D. After serving for a period of time as a Professor of Finance at […]
