It should come as no secret that I am not wildly bullish on the future of the stock market. Everything I see indicates that the long-term returns from stocks will be low to worse than that for several years, if not longer. If that is a surprise to you, I did a webinar on Monday […]

It’s coming. You cannot stop it. The media cannot stop it by declaring it will not happen. The economy is going to slow down. A recession is still more likely than not. Even if the Fed stops raising rates (which is almost entirely dependent on energy and rent prices at this point), they will not […]

In today’s Hidden Profit Report, I want to revisit the concept of “Loving the Toxic.” The market is clearly overextended and overvalued right now. In fact, the reading on one of my favorite valuation measures, the Excess CAPE Yield, is now at levels seen in 1969 and 2000. Today’s economy and stock market have similarities […]

Today, I want to talk a little more about what does and does not work in trading and investing. The media and publishing industry are constantly screaming about new ideas and strategies that are going to make you rich in very short order. The best advice I ever got about markets and life was a […]

Today, I want to follow up on last week’s article on trading. I am fascinated by the fact that so many people fall for the same sales pitches about trading systems that promise to make you millions of dollars with minimal effort and hardly any risk at all. The statistics on retail trading are readily […]

Here we go again. An article in Fortune magazine recently talks about the older members of Generation Z, those 20-somethings who have come of age in the era of financial crisis and global pandemics—and how they are trading much more than their predecessors. The article attributes their investing behavior to good old-fashioned FOMO (fear of […]

Today, I am talking with Ryan Kreiger of Freedom Day, an investment management firm with a great name and an even better idea when it comes to investing. Freedom Day focuses on high-quality dividend growth as the chief metric for identifying companies that can consistently deliver. Ryan and I talked at length about his investment […]

Last week I got to spend some time with John Davi and Frank Tedesco of Astoria Advisors. Astori is a firm that specializes in research-driven investing and offers two exchange-traded funds for public investors, as well as research for investment advisors across the United States. The firm’s latest offering is an exchange-traded fund that focuses […]

While market sentiment is discussed all the time, it is rarely defined. That’s why in today’s Hidden Profit Report, I sat down to talk with Ray Micaletti of Relative Sentiment Technology.  Ray has developed an approach that compares retail investor sentiment to institutional investor activity that gives valuable and actionable information about the condition of […]