Friday, December 5, 2025
I was recently asked a thoughtful question about whether a stock that is strongly tied to a commodity or sector can still be traded safely when using a volatility-based system. The question stuck with me because it gets to the heart of why our approach works in the first place. The concern was simple: If […]
As of November 21, the S&P 500 was down 5.8% from the record high set on October 29. The financial news media were full of opinions that the AI bubble had burst and that stocks were entering a new bear market. A 34% drop in Bitcoin helped fuel investor fears. How far stocks will end […]
I read constantly, especially before the market opens. My morning routine sends me down plenty of unexpected paths, and recently I was reading about how systems respond to stress. No matter where you look, the same pattern appears. Stress builds, peaks, and then fades. Nothing stays stretched forever. Markets behave the same way. Whenever fear […]
People who have followed my work for some time know about Hetty Green. She was one of the greatest traders of the early twentieth century and, in my opinion, one of the most misunderstood figures in American financial history. If you have heard of her, you may recall her nickname, the Witch of Wall Street. […]
When I first started studying markets, I did what most people do: I opened a chart and added every familiar indicator I could find. RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, stochastics… The classics. They were everywhere, and they felt like the roadmap to success. But the more I studied, the more I realized that everyone was following […]
In the sometimes wild world of high-yield option strategy ETFs, probably no fund showed the crazy side more than the YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY). ULTY launched on February 28, 2024, with the intention of generating significant option premium income from some of the most volatile stocks in the market. The ETF has […]
Synopsis: Since March, my volatility indicator has consistently identified when fear fades and opportunity returns. Recent trades in one stock captured double-digit gains in days, not months. The system doesn’t predict—it reads behavior. When emotion resets, it finds the narrow window where volatility becomes opportunity again. Each week, I share how my volatility indicator works […]
Over the past few weeks, I have introduced my volatility-based indicator and explained how it measures fear and greed in the market, the two forces that drive price action. This week, I want to go a step further and show how that same indicator helps us stay steady when the crowd reacts to headlines. Every […]
The U.S. vs. China trade spat has quickly turned the U.S. market volatile. When President Trump announced potential retaliation on October 10 over rare earth metals, the Dow dropped by more than 1200 points. On Monday, the market recovered with a gain of 300 points. Then on Tuesday, October 14, the Dow was down 400 […]
Last week I wrote that in chaotic markets, prediction is fragile but process is durable. That idea had me looking back at how my proprietary indicator signal – called the ITV Indicator – performed during a well-known chaotic period, the 2008–2009 bear market. You probably remember 2009. Investors were terrified in the first few weeks […]
