Monday, October 5, 2026
Oil prices have surged, Treasury yields have climbed, stocks have come under pressure, and mortgage rates are back above 7%. At the same time, the Federal Reserve is forcing investors to reconsider where interest rates could go next. It would be convenient if one of those things explained the market, but none do. In a […]
There is plenty for investors to think about right now. Interest rates remain a concern; the Federal Reserve is under scrutiny; and markets have been reacting quickly as expectations change. We do not have to resolve any of those questions in order to trade. On September 15, my ITV indicator showed us an opportunity in […]
I received a question from a reader this week that I thought was interesting: With so many companies talking about artificial intelligence, how do I know whether AI is actually improving a business? Before ChatGPT was released in late 2022, about 1 in 5 companies in the Nasdaq 100 discussed AI on earnings calls. Today, […]
This week, I went to Bring Your Parent to School Day and found myself trying to explain what I do for a living to a room full of 2nd graders. I told them I was a stock trader. Adults usually have questions about the market, the economy, or what I think stocks will do next. […]
If you have followed my work for a while, you might have already heard the story I am about to share. I revisit it from time to time because history matters, especially when it comes to the markets in which old lessons have a way of resurfacing when conditions change. There is a […]
March is Women’s History Month, a time set aside to reflect on the women who pushed boundaries long before many of the opportunities we have today existed. In finance, those stories are not ancient history. Many of the women who opened the doors to this profession were working only a generation ago. In 2015, I […]
Paradigms shape how we interpret markets. Traders and long-term investors operate under very different ones, and I find trading paradigms are easier for me to understand. Long-term investors believe they can identify future leaders. In the 1980s, they bet on Commodore as personal computers reshaped the world. In the 1990s, they backed Motorola. Later, many […]
Long before I managed trades each week, I managed uncertainty for a living. As an intelligence analyst, my job was not to predict the future. It was to make careful, structured decisions when the information in front of me was partial, unclear, and at times intentionally misleading. That difference matters. Trying to predict feels powerful […]
This week, I found myself thinking about how I actually discovered my edge in trading. It was not luck. It was not a hot tip. It was a process. There were three clear steps. First, I noticed something in the market that aligned with how I naturally think and trade. I was not trying to […]
Markets are adjusting to competing signals rather than moving in a single, clear direction. Interest rate expectations remain divided. Financial markets have reacted to the possibility that the Federal Reserve’s policy will remain restrictive for longer, which has supported a stronger dollar and pressured assets that benefited from easier conditions. At the same time, futures […]
