Saturday, November 1, 2025
Over the past few weeks, I have introduced my volatility-based indicator and explained how it measures fear and greed in the market, the two forces that drive price action. This week, I want to go a step further and show how that same indicator helps us stay steady when the crowd reacts to headlines. Every […]
I’ve been sharing my trading research and strategies for more than a decade. During that time, I’ve tested countless ideas and refined more systems than I could count. Most were useful, but not all were strong enough to share publicly. For those of you who are new to my work, I’m a trader who took […]
Last week I wrote that in chaotic markets, prediction is fragile but process is durable. That idea had me looking back at how my proprietary indicator signal – called the ITV Indicator – performed during a well-known chaotic period, the 2008–2009 bear market. You probably remember 2009. Investors were terrified in the first few weeks […]
Markets remain chaotic. On the surface, they may look bullish. But beneath that, sentiment is split, and every day seems to bring a new headline that can push prices sharply higher or lower. We are living through what feels like an age of chaos, where news cycles move faster than fundamentals. History reminds us this […]
There is a great “truth” put out by the financial advisory community that with ETFs, expense ratios are the only thing that matters. Lower expenses mean investors earn a greater return. Following Vanguard, which earlier this year cut fees on 66 funds, Schwab recently announced fee reductions on four ETFs with $66 billion in assets. […]
On March 7, 2024, Roundhill Investments launched the first 0DTE (zero days to expiration) covered call exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These funds introduce new strategies to the ETF space, enabling fund managers to respond to rapidly changing markets with greater speed and agility. Traditional covered call trading involves owning an underlying asset (such as individual stocks […]
I knew this day would come. Every other investor and analyst did too. But I think most investors and analysts don’t understand what’s happening. Last week, the yield curve uninverted. That is likely to be the most significant event of 2024. I know that’s a bold statement. After all, we saw incredible events last year, […]
When I did my ex-pat tour in Uruguay, many of the foreigners living in Montevideo were British. I found it interesting that the British gave a “happy Christmas” wish instead of the “merry Christmas” I grew up with. Now, a decade after returning to the States, I still have “happy Christmas” in my head. So, […]
FOMO—the fear of missing out—might be the most powerful force in the markets. Price action is normally driven by fear and greed. Fear, of course, drives bear markets. Eventually, in a bear market, greed replaces fear and drives prices relentlessly higher. And sometimes, greed gives way to FOMO. At these times, we tend to see […]
FOMO—the Fear of Missing Out—has permeated human behavior long before the term entered popular lexicon. It taps into a universal desire: to seize opportunities, avoid regret, and partake in collective excitement. History offers no shortage of examples of its pull, even among the most disciplined and brilliant minds. Isaac Newton, one of history’s greatest scientists, […]
