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More upside for Dollar
By Mike Paulenoff, MPTrader.com
Monday, February 8, 2010

The DXY (cash dollar index) continues to leap higher in reaction to uncertainties about the sovereign debt conditions of a subset of countries referred to as the PIIGS. Let's notice that after emerging to the upside on 1/28 above 23.20, the PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Index (NYSE: UUP) has rocketed 2% in the past 6 sessions amidst constant negative news about widening Greek, Spanish, and Portugese CDS spreads. Today's strength is interesting in light of the rumors about an emergency meeting of the ECB, which hardly created a negative reaction in the dollar (UUP). It could be that Mr. Market is on the verge of PUNISHING the debt and currencies of countries whose govt authorities throw bailout money at a too big to fail problem. Austerity just might be the new order of the day-- investors beware. Under such circumstances, the UUP could have considerably higher to climb-- into the 24.25/50 area next. MJP 2/05/10 11:30 AM ET (23.65)

Mike Paulenoff is the co-author of The Business-One Irwin Guide to the Futures Markets (with Stanley Kroll). He was formerly the chief on-air market consultant and strategist for JAGfn, a live, daily 8-hour financial market webcast and cable TV show, and was President of MJ Capital Inc., a market analysis and trading firm which advised clients involved in the financial futures and commodity markets. Mike's real-time ETF trading diary and chart analysis can be found at MPTrader.com (click for a free trial).